INTRODUCTION
The Dinokeng Scenario Team acknowledges our long legacy of entrenched inequality,racism, sexism and oppression. It also recognises the significant accomplishments made since 1994. However, there are deep social and economic challenges that face our country, challenges that may degenerate into time bombs unless they are squarely addressed.
This section focuses on the country’s balance sheet: its national “assets” and “liabilities”. We focus on the primary gains we have made, and the primary challenges we still face. It is not our intention to provide a catalogue of every conceivable achievement or failure.
In evaluating the nation’s balance sheet, we are mindful of the heritage of our past. The legacies of the past continue to haunt us: the brutal repression and economic deprivation, the crippling effects of inferior education, poor housing and health services under apartheid; coupled with the hierarchical liberation culture and impact of ‘liberation now, education later’ and ‘making the country ungovernable’. These all carry their imprint on the present. Much still needs to be done to address this legacy, but we must also not allow it to obscure the mistakes we have made in the past 15 years and the critical challenges that these mistakes have yielded.
The Scenario Team poses the following key questions about the future of our country:
How can we as South Africans address our critical challenges before they become time bombs that destroy our accomplishments?
and
What can each one of us do – in our homes, communities and workplaces – to help build a future that lives up to the promise of 1994?
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VOICES OF DINOKENG
Perspectives from members of
the Dinokeng Scenario Team.
We need to see how the global
economy responds to the current
crisis. Where there is volatility
in the pricing of primary
commodities, how will the
South African economy withstand
this? The new centres of growth
– India, China, Russia and
Brazil – will impact on South
Africa and we will see lower rates
of growth over the next five years.
We’ve seen the reduction of
unemployment from 31% [in
2003] to 23% – any reversal
would be dire.
A word of caution: there are
constraints that we need to accept and live with. We cannot behave
as if we are insulated and living
on an island. We have a small
and open economy. We are not
a closed economy.
We need to work out our role
vis a vis the region. Do we want to
be the powerhouse or just another
SADC country? What is our
responsibility to the region? Take
the xenophobia – do we have the
capacity to process the nuance
about what constitutes an
economic versus a political
refugee? Does Home Affairs
know how to deal with this?
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